MadridClayATP Semi-finals20 Apr 2026 · 10:10
A. Pellegrino
#130 · Italy
VS
M. Damm
#126 · USA
PELLEGRINO
1.93
·
DAMM
1.93

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Damm
Winner
1.93
1.93
Total
line 20.0
1.26
Over 20.0
3.2
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.36
Over 20.5
2.7
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.4
-4.0 games
1.26
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.68
-3.5 games
1.4
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning A. Pellegrino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -2.87Trend up

M. Damm has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS -0.5Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Damm
54.4%
Win rate
49.4%
233–195
W–L
40–41

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces12
Double faults6