MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 11:10
C. Garin
#85 · Chile
VS
M. Damm
#126 · USA
GARIN
1.42
·
DAMM
2.95

Odds

Market
Garin
Damm
Winner
1.42
2.95
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
6.25
-6.0 games
1.08
+6 games
Handicap
games
4.15
-5.5 games
1.18
+5.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.4 to 11.7, with at least one match where C. Garin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.52Trend mixed

M. Damm has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS -0.5Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Damm
60.1%
Win rate
49.4%
255–169
W–L
40–41

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces12
Double faults6