HamburgClayATP Semi-finals16 May 2026 · 13:00
I. Buse
#31 · Peru
VS
N. McDonald
#1014 · Germany
BUSE
1.115
·
MCDONALD
6.96

Odds

Market
Buse
McDonald
Winner
1.115
6.96
Total
line 19.5
2.15
Over 19.5
1.7
Under 19.5
Total
line 18.5
1.7
Over 18.5
1.98
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.94
-6.0 games
1.75
+6 games
Handicap
games
1.719
-5.5 games
2.14
+5.5 games

Player analysis

I. Buse shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 27.3, with at least one match where I. Buse was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 10.34Trend mixed

N. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -27.8, meaning N. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving N. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.

DS -27.84Trend up

Recent form

LLWLL

1W 4L last 5

11 MayGlinka2-6 5-7L
16 AprCarboniL
14 AprMartinW
22 MarBarton6-4 6-2L
2 MarErel7-5 6-3L

Clay court stats

Buse
Stat
McDonald
62.1%
Win rate
61.5%
128–78
W–L
8–5

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3