Odds
Player analysis
I. Buse shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 27.3, with at least one match where I. Buse was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
H. Gaston comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning H. Gaston has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Gaston has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 16 May | McDonald | 6-2 6-0 | W |
| 9 May | Tiafoe | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 May | Sonego | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 1 May | Tabilo | 4-6 0-6 | L |
| 30 Apr | Faurel | 6-4 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 16 May | Topo | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 May | Shevchenko | 6-1 3-6 6-1 | L |
| 4 May | Pellegrino | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Blanch | 6-3 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 27 Apr | Ujvary | 6-0 6-1 | W |

