HamburgClayATP Final17 May 2026 · 12:10
I. Buse
#31 · Peru
VS
H. Gaston
#118 · France
BUSE
1.355
·
GASTON
3.28

Odds

Market
Buse
Gaston
Winner
1.355
3.28
Total
line 21.5
2.09
Over 21.5
1.746
Under 21.5
Total
line 21.0
1.971
Over 21.0
1.833
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.855
-4.0 games
1.971
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.07
-4.5 games
1.758
+4.5 games

Player analysis

I. Buse shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 27.3, with at least one match where I. Buse was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 10.34Trend mixed

H. Gaston comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning H. Gaston has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Gaston has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -4.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Buse
Stat
Gaston
62.1%
Win rate
56.4%
128–78
W–L
115–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2