Odds
Player analysis
N. Basilashvili has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.7 to 3.6, with at least one match where N. Basilashvili was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Basilashvili has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 18 May | Dias | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 12 May | Rublev | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 11 May | Nakashima | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 9 May | Shelton | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 7 May | Aguilar | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | W |

