ValenciaClay1/16-finals12 May 2026 · 12:55
S. Baez
#64 · Argentina
VS
R. Carballes Baena
#203 · Spain
BAEZ
1.36
·
BAENA
3.29

Odds

Market
Baez
Baena
Winner
1.36
3.29
Total
line 18.5
1.3
Over 18.5
3.06
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.56
Over 19.5
2.21
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
3.56
-6.5 games
1.24
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
3.24
-6.0 games
1.28
+6 games

Player analysis

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -0.28Trend mixed

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.75Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baez
Stat
Baena
67%
Win rate
61.3%
175–86
W–L
460–291

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Clay 20
S. Baez vs R. Carballes Baena head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP GenevaClay1/8-finalsBaez6-3 6-0
ATP KitzbuhelClay1/8-finalsBaez6-1 6-2