GenevaClay1/16-finals18 May 2026 · 10:35
S. Baez
#64 · Argentina
VS
A. Michelsen
#42 · USA

Odds

Market
Baez
Michelsen
Winner
Total
line 22.5
1.77
Over 22.5
1.87
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.0
1.97
Over 23.0
1.76
Under 23.0
Handicap
games
1.86
-2.5 games
1.82
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.88
-2.0 games
1.84
+2 games

Player analysis

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -0.28Trend mixed

A. Michelsen has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 23.3, with at least one match where A. Michelsen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.9Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baez
Stat
Michelsen
67%
Win rate
47.3%
175–86
W–L
61–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2