Odds
Player analysis
S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
A. Michelsen has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 23.3, with at least one match where A. Michelsen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 14 May | Carreno-Busta | 7-5 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 12 May | Baena | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 8 May | Bublik | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 May | Brooksby | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 23 Apr | Gaubas | 7-5 6-1 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 May | Ofner | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Tiffon | 4-6 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | Lehecka | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 24 Apr | Struff | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Rinderknech | 6-3 6-3 | L |

