Odds
Player analysis
N. Basilashvili has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.7 to 3.6, with at least one match where N. Basilashvili was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Basilashvili has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
P. Boscardin Dias comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning P. Boscardin Dias has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving P. Boscardin Dias vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Boscardin Dias has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 12 May | Rublev | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 11 May | Nakashima | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 9 May | Shelton | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 7 May | Aguilar | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | W |
| 5 May | Hijikata | 3-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Apr | Draxl | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Silva | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 15 Apr | Rybakov | 6-2 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 14 Apr | Olivieri | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heide | 7-6 6-2 | L |

