PerugiaClay4 Jun 2026 · 10:00
A. Pellegrino
ATP #124Italy
VS
R. Carballes Baena
ATP #203Spain

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Baena
Change
Winner

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 271. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS 5.89Trend mixed

R. Carballes Baena has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.78Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Baena
54.6%
Win rate
61.3%
247–205
W–L
460–291

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
PellegrinoBaena

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #124Pellegrino vs BaenaATP #203

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Pellegrino 55% (247205) · Baena 61% (460291)

Quick comparison

PellegrinoStatBaena
55%Clay W%61%
60%1st serve % (L5)70%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
40%BP conv (L5)60%
4Aces (L5 avg)2