PerugiaClay1/16-finals2 Jun 2026 · 15:20
R. Carballes Baena
ATP #203Spain
VS
L. Carboni
ATP #477Italy
BAENA
1.4
·
CARBONI
3.13

Odds

Market
Baena
Carboni
Winner
1.4
3.13
Total
line 21.5
1.971
Over 21.5
1.885
Under 21.5
Total
line 21.0
1.862
Over 21.0
1.971
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.676
-3.0 games
2.24
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.7
-3.5 games
2.06
+3.5 games

Player analysis

R. Carballes Baena has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.78Trend mixed

L. Carboni has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 16.8, with at least one match where L. Carboni was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Carboni vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Carboni has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 4.47Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baena
Stat
Carboni
61.3%
Win rate
49.7%
460–291
W–L
92–93

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
BaenaCarboni

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #203Baena vs CarboniATP #477

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Baena 61% (460291) · Carboni 50% (9293)

Last match at Perugia

No finished matches at Perugia yet.

W1 Jun 2026 · Final
vs J. Sels · 6-4 6-4
1st serve71%1st won75%Aces0BP conv33.3%

Quick comparison

BaenaStatCarboni
61%Clay W%50%
70%1st serve % (L5)60%
60%1st serve won (L5)70%
60%BP conv (L5)30%
2Aces (L5 avg)2