PerugiaClay1/16-finals2 Jun 2026 · 20:30
A. Pellegrino
ATP #124Italy
VS
M. Kasnikowski
ATP #315Poland
PELLEGRINO
1.474
·
KASNIKOWSKI
2.78

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Kasnikowski
Change
Winner
1.474
2.78
Total
line 22.0
1.917
Over 22.0
1.917
Under 22.0
Total
line 21.5
1.787
Over 21.5
2.05
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.926
-3.0 games
1.909
+3 games
Handicap
games
2.07
-3.5 games
1.769
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.8 with a downward trend. A. Pellegrino is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 1.8Trend down

M. Kasnikowski has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 12.5, with at least one match where M. Kasnikowski was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Kasnikowski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Kasnikowski
54.6%
Win rate
60.3%
247–205
W–L
79–52

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
PellegrinoKasnikowski

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #124Pellegrino vs KasnikowskiATP #315

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Pellegrino 55% (247205) · Kasnikowski 60% (7952)

Last match at Perugia

No finished matches at Perugia yet.

W31 May 2026 · Semi-finals
vs R. Seggerman · 6-3 7-6
1st serve55%1st won80%Aces5BP conv25%

Quick comparison

PellegrinoStatKasnikowski
55%Clay W%60%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
30%BP conv (L5)40%
4Aces (L5 avg)4