F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 21.5, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Auger-Aliassime has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

G. Mpetshi Perricard comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning G. Mpetshi Perricard has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving G. Mpetshi Perricard vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.