Odds
Player analysis
F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Auger-Aliassime is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Atmane comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning T. Atmane has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving T. Atmane vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Atmane has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Medvedev | 4-6 2-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Rinderknech | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 20 Mar | Altmaier | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 10 Mar | Blanch | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dimitrov | 4-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Kecmanovic | 6-3 6-3 | L |

