F. Auger-Aliassime shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 58. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.1 to 18.9, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning M. Cilic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Cilic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Cilic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.