V. Gaubas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.5 to 13.5, with at least one match where V. Gaubas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+33) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 21.5, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Auger-Aliassime has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -44 over recent matches.