F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Auger-Aliassime is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning M. Cilic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Cilic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Cilic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.