F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Auger-Aliassime is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Navone shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Navone was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Navone vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.