M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Arnaldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 30. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.