French OpenClay1/32-finals28 May 2026 · 16:00
M. Arnaldi
#104 · Italy
VS
S. Tsitsipas
#79 · Greece
ARNALDI
2.58
2.52
·
TSITSIPAS
1.571

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Tsitsipas
Change
Winner
2.58
1.571
0.06
Total
line 39.5
1.92
Over 39.5
1.82
Under 39.5
Total
line 4.5
3.1
Over 4.5
1.3
Under 4.5
Handicap
games
7.4
-2.5 games
1.1
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.3
+2.5 games
3.45
-2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 41. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 10.6, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.25Trend mixed

S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 16.8, with at least one match where S. Tsitsipas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 1.18Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Tsitsipas
62.9%
Win rate
74.8%
122–72
W–L
190–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces5
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Clay 01
M. Arnaldi vs S. Tsitsipas head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP French OpenClay1/8-finalsTsitsipas6-3 6-7 2-6 2-6