Odds
Player analysis
T. Griekspoor comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning T. Griekspoor has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Griekspoor vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Griekspoor has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 41. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 10.6, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 16 May | Collignon | 7-5 6-1 | L |
| 15 May | Molcan | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 May | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 May | Blockx | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | Musetti | 4-6 5-7 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 10 May | Jodar | 1-6 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 8 May | Minaur | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 6 May | Munar | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 3 May | Hurkacz | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 2 May | Cadenasso | 1-6 6-1 6-0 | W |

