Odds
Player analysis
S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 16.8, with at least one match where S. Tsitsipas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
G. Mpetshi Perricard comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning G. Mpetshi Perricard has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Mpetshi Perricard vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Mpetshi Perricard has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 7 May | Machac | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 28 Apr | Ruud | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 27 Apr | Aguilar | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Bublik | 2-6 5-7 | W |
| 23 Apr | Kypson | 6-3 6-7 6-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 15 May | Halys | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 14 May | Vukic | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 13 May | Virtanen | 6-2 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 8 May | Musetti | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 7 May | Fearnley | 6-7 6-4 2-6 | W |

