Odds
Player analysis
F. Tiafoe shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 130. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 9.6, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 42. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 7.0, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 30 May | Faria | 6-4 7-6 6-7 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 28 May | Hurkacz | 7-6 6-7 4-6 7-6 4-6 | W |
| 25 May | Spizzirri | 3-6 7-6 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 20 May | Carabelli | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 17 May | Dedura | 4-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 30 May | Collignon | 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 28 May | Tsitsipas | 7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 26 May | Griekspoor | 7-6 3-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 10 May | Jodar | 1-6 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 8 May | Minaur | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.
No prior meetings
Last match at French Open
Quick comparison

