French OpenClay1/8-finals1 Jun 2026 · 11:00
F. Tiafoe
ATP #22USA
VS
M. Arnaldi
ATP #104Italy

Odds

Market
Tiafoe
Arnaldi
Change
Winner

Player analysis

F. Tiafoe shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 130. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 9.6, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 2.56Trend mixed

M. Arnaldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 42. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 7.0, with at least one match where M. Arnaldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 1.41Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Tiafoe
Stat
Arnaldi
59.3%
Win rate
62.9%
99–68
W–L
122–72

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
TiafoeArnaldi

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #22Tiafoe vs ArnaldiATP #104

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Tiafoe 59% (9968) · Arnaldi 63% (12272)

Last match at French Open

W30 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/16-finals
vs J. Faria · 6-4 7-6 6-7 1-6 2-6
1st serve53%1st won78.8%Aces15BP conv53.3%
W30 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/16-finals
vs R. Collignon · 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6
1st serve62%1st won76.1%Aces14BP conv38.5%

Quick comparison

TiafoeStatArnaldi
59%Clay W%63%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
80%1st serve won (L5)70%
50%BP conv (L5)40%
9Aces (L5 avg)6