French OpenClay1/16-finals30 May 2026 · 11:00
J. Faria
ATP #115Portugal
VS
F. Tiafoe
ATP #22USA
FARIA
2.42
·
TIAFOE
1.625

Odds

Market
Faria
Tiafoe
Change
Winner
2.42
1.625
Total
line 38.5
1.8
Over 38.5
1.92
Under 38.5
Total
line 39.0
1.877
Over 39.0
1.98
Under 39.0
Handicap
games
1.78
+2.5 games
1.96
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
5.75
-2.5 games
1.1
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Faria arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 6.3Trend mixed

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS -0.36Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Faria
Stat
Tiafoe
54.2%
Win rate
59.3%
77–65
W–L
99–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
FariaTiafoe

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #115Faria vs TiafoeATP #22

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Faria 54% (7765) · Tiafoe 59% (9968)

Last match at French Open

W28 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/32-finals
vs J-L. Struff · 5-7 6-7 2-6
1st serve50%1st won80.4%Aces6BP conv31.2%
W25 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/64-finals
vs E. Spizzirri · 3-6 7-6 4-6 3-6
1st serve50%1st won88.3%Aces12BP conv66.7%

Quick comparison

FariaStatTiafoe
54%Clay W%59%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
80%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)40%
6Aces (L5 avg)7