Odds
Player analysis
E. Spizzirri comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 17.4, with at least one match where E. Spizzirri was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Spizzirri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 9.6, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Feb | Jones | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Duckworth | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sinner | 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Wu | 6-2 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 20 Jan | Fonseca | 4-6 6-2 1-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 20 May | Carabelli | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 17 May | Dedura | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 11 May | Pellegrino | 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 9 May | Buse | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |