ATP Indian WellsHard1/64-finals6 Mar 2026 · 04:35
M. Arnaldi
#103 · Italy
VS
M. McDonald
#125 · USA
ARNALDI
2.4
·
MCDONALD
1.63

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
McDonald
Winner
2.4
1.63

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS -5.36Trend up

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.6, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -13.56Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
McDonald
51.3%
Win rate
56.8%
81–77
W–L
260–198

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted80%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
BP converted40%