Australian OpenHard1/64-finals19 Jan 2026 · 03:05
M. Arnaldi
#103 · Italy
VS
A. Rublev
#12 · Russia
ARNALDI
4.39
·
RUBLEV
1.25

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Rublev
Winner
4.39
1.25

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS -0.22Trend mixed

Recent form

LLWWW

3W 2L last 5

24 AprKoprivaL
19 AprFilsL
18 AprMedjedovicW
17 AprMachacW
16 AprSonegoW

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Rublev
%
Win rate
62.8%
W–L
311–184

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults4