Odds
Player analysis
J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Arnaldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Bouquier | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | McDonald | 0-6 1-6 | L |
| 19 Jan | Rublev | 4-6 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 3 Jan | Gaston | 6-1 5-7 7-6 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fearnley | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 23 Oct | Zverev | 4-6 4-6 | L |

