D. Lajovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.8 to 12.4, with at least one match where D. Lajovic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.