LisbonClayQuarter-finals26 Sep 2025 · 16:00
D. Merida Aguilar
#86 · Spain
VS
V. Gaubas
#133 · Lithuania
AGUILAR
2.04
·
GAUBAS
1.84

Odds

Market
Aguilar
Gaubas
Winner
2.04
1.84
Total
line 20.5
1.58
Over 20.5
2.24
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.69
Over 21.0
2.23
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.76
-2.0 games
2.13
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.65
-2.5 games
2.14
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning D. Merida Aguilar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.06Trend up

V. Gaubas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning V. Gaubas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Gaubas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -45 over recent matches.

DS -2.22Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
Gaubas
61.9%
Win rate
61.4%
143–88
W–L
145–91

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces4
Double faults3