J. Thompson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 12.5, with at least one match where J. Thompson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Thompson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.6, meaning S. Tsitsipas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.