RomeClay1/32-finals8 May 2026 · 21:05
M. Sakkari
#49 · Greece
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
SAKKARI
6.85
·
RYBAKINA
1.13

Odds

Market
Sakkari
Rybakina
Winner
6.85
1.13
Total
line 15.5
1.09
Over 15.5
5.25
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.14
Over 16.0
4.55
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
4.45
-2.5 games
1.18
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
4.5
-3.0 games
1.17
+3 games

Player analysis

M. Sakkari comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning M. Sakkari has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS -6Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 56. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 13.11Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sakkari
Stat
Rybakina
59.2%
Win rate
69.4%
100–69
W–L
75–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

15
Clay 01
Grass 01
Hard 12
Indoor 01
M. Sakkari vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClayWTA 1/32-finalsRybakina4-6 1-6
WimbledonGrass1/32-finalsRybakina3-6 1-6
United CupHardRybakina4-6 3-6
WTA MiamiHardQuarter-finalsRybakina5-7 7-6 4-6
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorRybakina6-7 7-6
Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsSakkari7-5 6-4