Odds
Player analysis
M. Sakkari has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Sakkari was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Mar | Swiatek | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Tagger | 7-5 6-0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Muchova | 6-3 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Swiatek | 6-2 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 11 Feb | Gracheva | 6-7 0-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Sabalenka | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Svitolina | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Pegula | 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Kostyuk | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Baptiste | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | W |

