WimbledonGrass1/16-finals4 Jul 2025 · 21:05
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
E. Raducanu
#23 · United Kingdom
SABALENKA
1.27
·
RADUCANU
4.24

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Raducanu
Winner
1.27
4.24

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

E. Raducanu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.3, meaning E. Raducanu has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving E. Raducanu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

DS -11.3Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

9 MarAnisimova1-6 1-6L
6 MarZakharova6-1 6-3W
16 FebRuzic6-1 5-7 6-2L
7 FebCirstea0-6 2-6L
6 FebOliynykova7-5 3-6 6-3W

Grass court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Raducanu
66.1%
Win rate
%
41–21
W–L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults5
BP converted60%