Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
E. Raducanu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.3, meaning E. Raducanu has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving E. Raducanu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 15 Mar | Rybakina | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 14 Mar | Noskova | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 12 Mar | Mboko | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Osaka | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 8 Mar | Cristian | 6-4 6-1 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Anisimova | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Zakharova | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 16 Feb | Ruzic | 6-1 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 7 Feb | Cirstea | 0-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Feb | Oliynykova | 7-5 3-6 6-3 | W |

