French OpenClay1/16-finals31 May 2025 · 12:15
M. Vondrousova
#43 · Czech Republic
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VONDROUSOVA
2.8
·
PEGULA
1.5

Odds

Market
Vondrousova
Pegula
Winner
2.8
1.5
Total
line 16.5
1.1
Over 16.5
5.05
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.13
Over 17.0
4.65
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
2.23
-2.0 games
1.72
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.3
-2.5 games
1.68
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.46Trend up

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 7.36Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLLLW

2W 3L last 5

13 MarPegula1-6 6-7W
11 MarPegula6-3 7-6L
9 MarPegula4-6 6-3 6-2L
8 MarPegula4-6 6-2 6-3L
21 FebSvitolina2-6 4-6W

Clay court stats

Vondrousova
Stat
Pegula
69.2%
Win rate
58.9%
74–33
W–L
76–53

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

11
Clay 01
Grass 10
M. Vondrousova vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
French OpenClay1/16-finalsPegula6-3 4-6 2-6
WTA WimbledonGrassQuarter-finalsVondrousova4-6 6-2 4-6