US OpenHard1/16-finals29 Aug 2025 · 19:40
M. Vondrousova
#45 · Czech Republic
VS
J. Paolini
#9 · Italy
VONDROUSOVA
1.99
·
PAOLINI
1.92

Odds

Market
Vondrousova
Paolini
Winner
1.99
1.92

Player analysis

M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.46Trend up

J. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Vondrousova
Stat
Paolini
63.6%
Win rate
54.2%
124–71
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2