AcapulcoHardSemi-finals28 Feb 2026 · 05:00
F. Tiafoe
#20 · USA
VS
B. Nakashima
#30 · USA
TIAFOE
1.95
·
NAKASHIMA
1.95

Odds

Market
Tiafoe
Nakashima
Winner
1.95
1.95

Player analysis

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.7 to 25.3, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.54Trend mixed

B. Nakashima has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 6.46Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarZverev3-6 4-6L
9 MarCobolli1-6 2-6W
7 MarBrooksby4-6 2-6W
1 MarCobolli7-6 6-4L
28 FebNakashima3-6 7-6 6-4W
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

8 MarZverev6-7 7-5 4-6L
6 MarCarabelli6-3 6-4W
28 FebTiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4L
27 FebVacherot6-2 2-6 3-6W
26 FebKypson6-4 6-4W

Hard court stats

Tiafoe
Stat
Nakashima
57.1%
Win rate
63.1%
248–186
W–L
197–115

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults1

Head to head

61
Hard 41
Clay 10
Indoor 10
F. Tiafoe vs B. Nakashima head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
AcapulcoHardSemi-finalsTiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4
HoustonClaySemi-finalsTiafoe4-6 6-7
ATP TokyoHardTokyo - 1/16-finalsNakashima5-7 3-6
AtlantaHardQuarter-finalsTiafoe4-6 2-6
MiamiHard1/32-finalsTiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4
Indian WellsHard1/32-finalsTiafoe4-6 4-6
DallasIndoor1/8-finalsTiafoe3-6 7-6 7-5