MiamiHard26 Mar 2026 · 18:00
F. Tiafoe
#20 · USA
VS
J. Sinner
#2 · Italy
TIAFOE
20.03
·
SINNER
1.033

Odds

Market
Tiafoe
Sinner
Change
Winner
20.03
1.033
Total
line 20.5
2.27
Over 20.5
1.56
Under 20.5
Total
line 19.5
2.03
Over 19.5
1.85
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.38
+6.5 games
3.09
-6.5 games
Handicap
games
1.95
+5.5 games
1.94
-5.5 games

Player analysis

F. Tiafoe shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.47Trend mixed

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-32 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.2/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 13.96Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Tiafoe
Stat
Sinner
57.1%
Win rate
80.5%
248–186
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved90%
Aces10
Double faults1

Head to head

12
Hard 01
Indoor 11
F. Tiafoe vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP CincinnatiHardFinalSinner7-6 6-2
ATP ViennaIndoorQuarter-finalsSinner3-6 4-6
ViennaIndoorSemi-finalsTiafoe3-6 7-5 6-2