MiamiHardATP Quarter-finals26 Mar 2026 · 18:10
F. Tiafoe
#22 · USA
VS
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
TIAFOE
14.5
·
SINNER
1.05

Odds

Market
Tiafoe
Sinner
Winner
14.5
1.05
Total
line 15.5
1.02
Over 15.5
7.7
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.02
Over 16.0
7.7
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
9.1
-2.0 games
1.03
+2 games
Handicap
games
7.1
-2.5 games
1.07
+2.5 games

Player analysis

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 9.6, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.44Trend mixed

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +14.5, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 14.5Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Tiafoe
Stat
Sinner
57.1%
Win rate
80.5%
248–186
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 01
Indoor 11
F. Tiafoe vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP CincinnatiHardFinalSinner7-6 6-2
ATP ViennaIndoorQuarter-finalsSinner3-6 4-6
ViennaIndoorSemi-finalsTiafoe3-6 7-5 6-2