HoustonClay1/8-finals3 Apr 2026 · 02:10
R. Hijikata
#102 · Australia
VS
F. Tiafoe
#18 · USA
HIJIKATA
4.01
·
TIAFOE
1.282

Odds

Market
Hijikata
Tiafoe
Change
Winner
4.01
1.282
Total
line 22.5
2.11
Over 22.5
1.65
Under 22.5
Total
line 22.0
1.9
Over 22.0
1.8
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.66
+4.5 games
2.15
-4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.73
+2.5 games
1.41
-2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Hijikata has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.8, with at least one match where R. Hijikata was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS 1.98Trend mixed

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Tiafoe has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -5Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Hijikata
Stat
Tiafoe
39%
Win rate
59.3%
16–25
W–L
99–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
BP converted20%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

02
Hard 02
R. Hijikata vs F. Tiafoe head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Delray BeachHard1/16-finalsTiafoe4-6 4-6
ATP US OpenHard1/8-finalsTiafoe4-6 1-6 4-6