NAKASHIMA
2.05
·
TIAFOE
1.86
Odds
Market
Nakashima
Tiafoe
Winner
2.05
1.86
Total
line 19.5
1.22
Over 19.5
3.7
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.31
Over 20.0
3.04
Under 20.0
Player analysis
B. Nakashima has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
DS 6.46Trend mixed
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.7 to 25.3, with at least one match where F. Tiafoe was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 4.54Trend mixed
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Mar | Zverev | 6-7 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Carabelli | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 28 Feb | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 27 Feb | Vacherot | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 26 Feb | Kypson | 6-4 6-4 | W |
Clay court stats
NakashimaStatTiafoe
50.7%Win rate59.3%
38–37W–L99–68
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
Head to head
1–6
Hard 1–4
Clay 0–1
Indoor 0–1
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acapulco | Hard | Semi-finals | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | |
| Houston | Clay | Semi-finals | Tiafoe | 4-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Tokyo | Hard | Tokyo - 1/16-finals | Nakashima | 5-7 3-6 | |
| Atlanta | Hard | Quarter-finals | Tiafoe | 4-6 2-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/32-finals | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | |
| Indian Wells | Hard | 1/32-finals | Tiafoe | 4-6 4-6 | |
| Dallas | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 7-5 |