C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning C. Moutet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Moutet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Musetti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.