MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2026 · 19:20
D. Merida Aguilar
#102 · Spain
VS
C. Moutet
#30 · France
AGUILAR
2.62
·
MOUTET
1.546

Odds

Market
Aguilar
Moutet
Winner
2.62
1.546
Total
line 21.5
1.77
Over 21.5
2.04
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.02
Over 22.5
1.77
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.73
+3.5 games
2
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.08
+2.5 games
1.71
-2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 83. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.8 to 9.9, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Merida Aguilar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 0.45Trend up

C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning C. Moutet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.72Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
Moutet
60.7%
Win rate
58.6%
130–84
W–L
130–92

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2