RomeClay1/8-finals13 May 2025 · 22:05
T. Paul
#21 · USA
VS
A. De Minaur
#7 · Australia
PAUL
2.72
·
MINAUR
1.52

Odds

Market
Paul
Minaur
Winner
2.72
1.52

Player analysis

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 44. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 15.4, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 4.63Trend mixed

A. De Minaur shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 7.11Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Paul
Stat
Minaur
64.8%
Win rate
54.2%
114–62
W–L
65–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

25
Clay 21
Hard 03
Grass 01
T. Paul vs A. De Minaur head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
HamburgClayATP Semi-finalsPaul6-2 3-6 3-6
RomeClay1/8-finalsPaul7-5 6-3
ATP Los CabosHardQuarter-finalsMinaur6-4 3-6 6-3
ATP AcapulcoHardFinalMinaur6-3 4-6 1-6
EastbourneGrassQuarter-finalsMinaur6-2 4-6 6-4
RomeClay1/16-finalsMinaur7-5 6-4
Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsMinaur7-6 6-4