Odds
Player analysis
A. De Minaur shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
T. Samuel has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 12.3, with at least one match where T. Samuel was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Samuel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 May | Paul | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 21 May | Darderi | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 20 May | Fokina | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 18 May | Cerundolo | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 8 May | Arnaldi | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 May | Bueno | 5-7 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 20 May | Goffin | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 18 May | Damm | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 5 May | Sakellaridis | 3-6 6-2 4-6 | L |
| 28 Apr | Brancaccio | 5-7 6-1 6-4 | L |

