BeijingHard1/16-finals28 Sep 2025 · 05:10
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
E. Lys
#77 · Germany

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Lys
Winner

Player analysis

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 5.08Trend mixed

E. Lys comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning E. Lys has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving E. Lys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS -4.53Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

20 JanCirstea3-6 6-4 6-3L
5 JanLys6-3 3-6 4-6W
4 JanLys6-2 6-2L
14 NovLys2-6 6-4 0-6W
29 OctLys4-6 1-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

14 MarRybakina7-5 6-4L
13 MarPegula1-6 6-7W
10 MarKostyuk4-6 4-6W
7 MarBaptiste6-7 6-2 2-6W
17 FebRybakina6-1 6-2L

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Lys
68.8%
Win rate
65.8%
207–94
W–L
100–52

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces0
Double faults4

Head to head

11
Hard 01
Clay 10
E. Rybakina vs E. Lys head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BeijingHard1/16-finalsLys3-6 6-1 4-6
RomeClay1/32-finalsRybakina7-6 6-2