Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
E. Lys comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning E. Lys has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving E. Lys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Jan | Cirstea | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 5 Jan | Lys | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 4 Jan | Lys | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 14 Nov | Lys | 2-6 6-4 0-6 | W |
| 29 Oct | Lys | 4-6 1-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing | Hard | 1/16-finals | Lys | 3-6 6-1 4-6 | |
| Rome | Clay | 1/32-finals | Rybakina | 7-6 6-2 |

