CincinnatiHard1/16-finals13 Aug 2025 · 18:55
M. Linette
#73 · Poland
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
LINETTE
4.03
·
PEGULA
1.25

Odds

Market
Linette
Pegula
Winner
4.03
1.25

Player analysis

M. Linette has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning M. Linette has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Linette vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Linette has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -4.82Trend mixed

J. Pegula has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -28.9 to 39.8, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 9.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Linette
Stat
Pegula
53.7%
Win rate
67.1%
256–221
W–L
306–150

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Hard 12
Clay 01
M. Linette vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsLinette7-6 3-6 6-3
Indian WellsHard1/32-finalsPegula4-6 2-6
WTA CharlestonClay1/8-finalsPegula6-2 6-2
WTA MiamiHard1/8-finalsPegula6-1 7-5