Odds
Player analysis
A. Krueger has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.0 with a downward trend. A. Krueger is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Krueger vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Pegula has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -28.9 to 39.8, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Mar | Yastremska | 2-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 10 Mar | Svitolina | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Samsonova | 6-3 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Linette | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Feb | Townsend | 6-7 3-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

