MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 16:50
M. Echargui
#144 · Tunisia
VS
N. Budkov Kjaer
#140 · Norway
ECHARGUI
3.4
·
KJAER
1.3

Odds

Market
Echargui
Kjaer
Winner
3.4
1.3
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.55
-2.0 games
1.44
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.33
-2.5 games
1.52
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Echargui comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.7, meaning M. Echargui has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Echargui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Echargui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -10.67Trend mixed

N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.4 to 37.5, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 11.81Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Echargui
Stat
Kjaer
51.6%
Win rate
62.7%
79–74
W–L
47–28

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2