French OpenClay1/8-finals1 Jun 2026 · 11:00
M. Keys
WTA #19USA
VS
D. Shnaider
WTA #23Russia

Odds

Market
Keys
Shnaider
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.82
Over 21.5
1.92
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
1.96
Over 22.5
1.74
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.88
-2.5 games
1.86
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Keys arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 10.65Trend mixed

D. Shnaider shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 52. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -37.5 to 16.2, with at least one match where D. Shnaider was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Shnaider vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 2.99Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Shnaider
62.9%
Win rate
69.4%
90–53
W–L
86–38

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
KeysShnaider

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
WTA #19Keys vs ShnaiderWTA #23

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Keys 63% (9053) · Shnaider 69% (8638)

Last match at French Open

W30 May 2026 · WTA French Open - 1/16-finals
vs V. Mboko · 3-6 7-5 5-7
1st serve63%1st won58.3%Aces0BP conv46.2%
W30 May 2026 · WTA French Open - 1/16-finals
vs O. Oliynykova · 7-5 6-1
1st serve60%1st won58.5%Aces0BP conv50%

Quick comparison

KeysStatShnaider
63%Clay W%69%
70%1st serve % (L5)70%
60%1st serve won (L5)60%
50%BP conv (L5)70%
1Aces (L5 avg)1