French OpenClay1/16-finals30 May 2026 · 11:00
V. Mboko
WTA #9Canada
VS
M. Keys
WTA #19USA
MBOKO
1.64
·
KEYS
2.42

Odds

Market
Mboko
Keys
Change
Winner
1.64
2.42
Total
line 18.5
1.33
Over 18.5
3.2
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.49
Over 19.5
2.5
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.5
-4.0 games
1.5
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.17
-3.5 games
1.64
+3.5 games

Player analysis

V. Mboko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 38. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.62Trend up

M. Keys arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +13.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 13.93Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Mboko
Stat
Keys
63.3%
Win rate
62.9%
38–22
W–L
90–53

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults1

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
MbokoKeys

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
WTA #9Mboko vs KeysWTA #19

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Mboko 63% (3822) · Keys 63% (9053)

Last match at French Open

W28 May 2026 · WTA French Open - 1/32-finals
vs K. Siniakova · 5-7 6-4 6-2
1st serve60%1st won54%Aces3BP conv57.1%
W28 May 2026 · WTA French Open - 1/32-finals
vs A. Ruzic · 4-6 4-6
1st serve77%1st won65.3%Aces0BP conv44.4%

Quick comparison

MbokoStatKeys
63%Clay W%63%
60%1st serve % (L5)70%
60%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)50%
4Aces (L5 avg)1